Difference between revisions of "Talk:Post-scarcity/How do we get from here to there?"

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(New page: The way I see it, the world is an ecosystem with competing organizational models. If I want to execute some project - regardless of what it is - I have a choice of vehicles to hop into: *'...)
 
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The way I see it, the world is an ecosystem with competing organizational models. If I want to execute some project - regardless of what it is - I have a choice of vehicles to hop into:
 
The way I see it, the world is an ecosystem with competing organizational models. If I want to execute some project - regardless of what it is - I have a choice of vehicles to hop into:
*'''Capitalism''': I could set up a private enterprise. This is privately owned and privately funded.
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*'''Informal good-faith collaboration''': I get together with my mates and we do it. This was the dominant organizational model in prehistory, until slavery proved more a more powerful vehicle.
*'''Charity''': I could set up a non-profit. Privately owned, publicly funded on a voluntary basis.
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*'''Coercion/slavery''': I force or intimidate people to do the project for me. This replaced informal collaboration at the dawn of civilization (around Babylonian times) and reigned until the Middle Ages. Then mutually-beneficial agreements proved more effective and capitalism became dominant.
*'''State socialism''': I could try to arrange a state-run, tax-funded project. Owned by the state, publicly funded on a compulsory basis.  
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*'''Capitalism''': I set up a private enterprise that is privately owned and privately funded. We make agreements (whether honest or dishonest) with others entities like customers and suppliers.
*'''The commons''': I open up the project to everyone. Owned by the crowd (or you could say ownerless), requires minimal funding which can come from donations (e.g. Kickstarter) or capitalism (selling ads/hardware)
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*'''Charity''': I set up a non-profit. This is privately owned and publicly funded on a voluntary basis.
(This is not an exhaustive list. There are other models, like coercion/slavery, or informal good-faith collaboration.) The interesting thing is that these vehicles all currently exist alongside one another, and they compete. People say we live in a capitalist society; this is mistaken black-and-white thinking. Sure, many ventures use capitalism, but it's not the only game in town. There is the welfare system, public health and education, Wikipedia, charities etc. These non-capitalist ventures are a part of humanity's value-creating ecosystem.
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*'''State socialism''': I try to arrange a state-run, tax-funded project. Owned by the state, publicly funded on a compulsory basis.  
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*'''The commons''': I open up the project to everyone. Owned by the crowd (or you could say ownerless). Requires minimal funding which can come from donations (e.g. Kickstarter) or capitalism (selling ads/hardware)
  
Michael Bauwens has said that the revolution that created the first civilizations (Babylon etc.) was that coercion/slavery proved more to be a more effective organizational model than informal good-faith collaboration. Then in the Middle Ages, capitalism, based on mutually-beneficial agreements, proved more effective than coercion, and capitalism became dominant. We see a third transition of this kind in these interesting times: commons-based manufacturing is starting to look like it is more effective than capitalism. It is becoming cheaper, it is tackling more sophisticated problems (like space-travel), it is stockpiling all kinds of things of value. This trend looks set to continue. What happens when open-source becomes radically more appealing than capitalism? Well, in a word: AdCiv happens. Open-source takes over from capitalism as the dominant way of supplying food, medicine, hardware, software etc. Scarcity ceases to exist, because value is created within a model based on sharing (the commons), rather than one based on rationing (capitalism).
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(This is not an exhaustive list.) The interesting thing is that these vehicles all exist alongside one another, and they compete for market share. People say we live in a capitalist society; this is mistaken black-and-white thinking. Sure, many ventures use capitalism, but it's not the only game in town. There is the welfare system, public health and education, Wikipedia, charities, ecovillages etc. These non-capitalist ventures are a part of humanity's value-creating ecosystem.
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Slavery outcompeted informal collaboration 6000 years ago. Capitalism outcompeted slavery 500 years ago. In these interesting times commons-based manufacturing is starting to look like it might outcompete capitalism. With every month that goes by, commons-based manufacturing becomes cheaper, it tackles more sophisticated problems like space-travel, it stockpiles all kinds of things of value. This trend looks set to continue.  
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What happens when commons-based manufacturing becomes radically more effective than capitalism? Well, in a word: AdCiv happens. commons-based manufacturing takes over from capitalism as the dominant vehicle for supplying food, medicine, hardware, software etc. Scarcity ceases to exist, because value is created within a model based on sharing, rather than one based on rationing.
  
 
The transition does not happen all at once, but one industry at a time. It is at different stages in different industries:
 
The transition does not happen all at once, but one industry at a time. It is at different stages in different industries:
*There are industries where the fight is over and capitalism has lost to the commons. Music is the big one. The encyclopedia industry is another; no one will be able to run a successful private business selling encyclopedias ever again.  
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*There are industries where the fight is over and capitalism has lost to the commons. Music is the big one. The encyclopedia industry is another; no one would even consider setting up a private business selling encyclopedias.  
*There are industries where commons-based and private ventures compete, with greater or lesser market shares depending on the industry. In computer operating systems, the commons has about a 1-2% market share. In web browsers it has about 50%. In 3D printing it is growing at breakneck speed.
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*There are industries where commons-based and private ventures compete, with greater or lesser market shares depending on the industry. In computer operating systems, the commons has about a 1-2% market share. In web browsers it has about 50%. In 3D printing it is growing at breakneck speed.  
*There are industries where commons-based manufacturing controls a tiny speck of the market. How much of the world's energy is generated by open-source wind turbines? How much of the world's food is grown in Windowfarms and community gardens? But things change so fast nowadays, and the commons builds on its successes so inexorably, that it could go from a 0.0001% share to being a serious player within a decade.
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*There are industries where commons-based manufacturing controls a tiny speck of the market. How much of the world's energy is generated by open-source wind turbines? How much of the world's food is grown in Windowfarms and community gardens? What percentage of all cars are open-hardware cars? But things change so fast nowadays, and the commons builds on its successes so inexorably, that it could go from a 0.0001% share to being a serious player within a decade.
  
 
How do we get from here to there? Survival of the fittest. The new co-operative model that has evolved simply outcompetes the old competitive model.  
 
How do we get from here to there? Survival of the fittest. The new co-operative model that has evolved simply outcompetes the old competitive model.  
--[[User:Balatro|Balatro]] 02:37, 9 February 2012 (CET)
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--[[User:Balatro|Balatro]] 02:52, 9 February 2012 (CET)
  
 
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Revision as of 03:52, 9 February 2012

The way I see it, the world is an ecosystem with competing organizational models. If I want to execute some project - regardless of what it is - I have a choice of vehicles to hop into:

  • Informal good-faith collaboration: I get together with my mates and we do it. This was the dominant organizational model in prehistory, until slavery proved more a more powerful vehicle.
  • Coercion/slavery: I force or intimidate people to do the project for me. This replaced informal collaboration at the dawn of civilization (around Babylonian times) and reigned until the Middle Ages. Then mutually-beneficial agreements proved more effective and capitalism became dominant.
  • Capitalism: I set up a private enterprise that is privately owned and privately funded. We make agreements (whether honest or dishonest) with others entities like customers and suppliers.
  • Charity: I set up a non-profit. This is privately owned and publicly funded on a voluntary basis.
  • State socialism: I try to arrange a state-run, tax-funded project. Owned by the state, publicly funded on a compulsory basis.
  • The commons: I open up the project to everyone. Owned by the crowd (or you could say ownerless). Requires minimal funding which can come from donations (e.g. Kickstarter) or capitalism (selling ads/hardware)

(This is not an exhaustive list.) The interesting thing is that these vehicles all exist alongside one another, and they compete for market share. People say we live in a capitalist society; this is mistaken black-and-white thinking. Sure, many ventures use capitalism, but it's not the only game in town. There is the welfare system, public health and education, Wikipedia, charities, ecovillages etc. These non-capitalist ventures are a part of humanity's value-creating ecosystem.

Slavery outcompeted informal collaboration 6000 years ago. Capitalism outcompeted slavery 500 years ago. In these interesting times commons-based manufacturing is starting to look like it might outcompete capitalism. With every month that goes by, commons-based manufacturing becomes cheaper, it tackles more sophisticated problems like space-travel, it stockpiles all kinds of things of value. This trend looks set to continue.

What happens when commons-based manufacturing becomes radically more effective than capitalism? Well, in a word: AdCiv happens. commons-based manufacturing takes over from capitalism as the dominant vehicle for supplying food, medicine, hardware, software etc. Scarcity ceases to exist, because value is created within a model based on sharing, rather than one based on rationing.

The transition does not happen all at once, but one industry at a time. It is at different stages in different industries:

  • There are industries where the fight is over and capitalism has lost to the commons. Music is the big one. The encyclopedia industry is another; no one would even consider setting up a private business selling encyclopedias.
  • There are industries where commons-based and private ventures compete, with greater or lesser market shares depending on the industry. In computer operating systems, the commons has about a 1-2% market share. In web browsers it has about 50%. In 3D printing it is growing at breakneck speed.
  • There are industries where commons-based manufacturing controls a tiny speck of the market. How much of the world's energy is generated by open-source wind turbines? How much of the world's food is grown in Windowfarms and community gardens? What percentage of all cars are open-hardware cars? But things change so fast nowadays, and the commons builds on its successes so inexorably, that it could go from a 0.0001% share to being a serious player within a decade.

How do we get from here to there? Survival of the fittest. The new co-operative model that has evolved simply outcompetes the old competitive model. --Balatro 02:52, 9 February 2012 (CET)