Difference between revisions of "Fundamental resources"

Revision as of 01:32, 16 October 2005

The following items are the three fundemental resources of society:

Material

Between air, water and the twenty most abundant elements in the earth's crust you can make almost everything, including:

• Food
• Drinking water
• Buildings
• Vehicles
• Industrial machines and robots
• Computers
• Consumer electronic products

These reserves of material are simply not going to run out - processing and using up the entire earth's crust would be quite a challenge, for even the most wasteful societies. Of course we are not advocating wasteful processes just because resources are available, one aspect of technological progress is the increasing efficiency of design and manufacturing - doing more with less.

It should be noted that there are other trace elements required for certain things such as agriculture, but by the nature of them only correspondingly small amounts are required.

Recycling is almost certain to become far more widespread than it is now, further reducing the burden of having to process new material for making things. Product design will become more sympathetic to the recycling process which will become highly automated.

Energy

We have these major sources of energy available to us: (in no particular order and not including fossil fuel)

• Solar: photovoltaic, solar thermal, solar power satellite
• Wind: Land-based wind turbine, off-shore wind turbine; jet-stream sky windmills
• Ocean: wave, tidal, ocean currents
• Nuclear: fission and likely even greater power from fusion in the future
• Geothermal: volcanic geothermal, 'deep rock' geothermal
• Biomass: vegetable oil, compost methane, burning of plant material waste, sustainable wood, animal dung and rubbish

These sources of power absolutely dwarf what is available from fossil fuel.

Improvement in the efficiency of our energy use will also be significant.

Intelligence

Human intelligence

Some people may suggest this as the one fundemental resource that really is in short supply...

We just haven't been using it very effectively so far. Currently with activities such as design and engineering, only relatively small groups of people collaborate in any meaningful way. The development of most things whether they be products, services, utilities or modern agricultural processes tend to be done behind closed doors. This means that compared to what is possible, progress is sporadic and slow. With the involvement of all interested parties and using open and transparent development processes progress could be far quicker and more efficient. This would also significantly reduce the huge duplication of effort that happens today.

As well as potentially increasing the effectiveness of our current intelligence, total intelligence is growing constantly.

Worldwide education is become more pervasive and of better quality, meaning that a larger percentage of the population can effectively participate in developing solutions. The world population is still increasing too which increases the pool of intelligence and the proposed advanced automation will result in freeing a greater percentage of the population to work on vital solutions to hard problems if they so wish.

Machine intelligence

On the machine side, intelligence is increasing exponentially and will do so for the forseable future. Not only are the number of information processing units multiplying rapidly, but the relative computing power of each one is increasing exponentially too.

On top of that algorithms and programming techniques are improving all the time to make more effective use of the hardware, as are distributed computing techniques which are able to make use of idle processor time between connected units.